More Than Half of Hispanic Voters Are Up for Grabs in 2020
November 18, 2019
Alex Lundry, 202-818-8727
A bipartisan research team today released new Hispanic voter research that finds that 60% of Hispanic respondents agree with the statement: “While I typically vote for candidates of one political party, if the other party’s candidates made an effort to reach out to me, I would consider voting differently.”
The research was conducted by Deep Root Analytics and Dewey Square Group and was designed to develop insights and television ratings for campaigns, political organizations and advocacy media buyers. They will be able to use the research both to better understand insights among Hispanic voters in this unique landscape and to develop a targeted buying program to communicate with this important audience of voters.
The analysis of key findings by partisan breaks reveals encouraging information for both major political parties.
There are significant swaths of Hispanics who support traditionally Republican policy positions. Though on many of these issues there is majority support for the Democratic position, there are a number of issues where there are meaningfully large numbers of Hispanics that prefer the Republican approach. Namely:
- Cutting taxes. 56% of Hispanics agree that “the best way to stimulate the economy is by cutting taxes across the board for individuals, small businesses and corporations…”
- “All of the above” energy production. 45% of Hispanics agree that “we need an all of the above energy policy that rolls back excessive regulations on fossil fuels while also supporting the growth of other energy solutions, like natural gas, wind, nuclear, and solar.”
- School choice. 42% of Hispanics agree that “parents should have a choice when it comes to deciding whether to send their children to private or public school.”
- Student Debt. 40% of Hispanics agree that “cancelling student loan debt is unfair to the millions of responsible students who worked their way through college, made financial sacrifices and managed their finances in such a way that they avoided taking on cumbersome debt.”
“With such a high turnout election coming in 2020, it is critical that Republican candidates running in key markets and states understand the many opportunities they have with Hispanic voters if they actively engage with them,” said Alex Lundry, Chief Data Scientist of Deep Root Analytics. “These survey results clearly demonstrate that Republicans can communicate meaningfully with Hispanic voters across a wide range of conservative issues, including tax cuts, energy production, school choice, and student debt.”
The poll’s results also yielded several findings that will encourage Democratic candidates, revealing a number of highly resonant issues among Hispanics in which they overwhelmingly support traditionally liberal policy positions. Namely:
- Immigration path to citizenship. 76% of Hispanics agree that “there should be a reasonable path to citizenship for illegal immigrants who came to the US as children, and splitting up and detaining migrant families at the border and raiding businesses with migrant workers are inhumane practices that threaten the lives and well-being of those children.”
- Medicare-for-all. 65% of Hispanics agree “health care should be considered a right and Medicare-for-All allows everyone to be covered without worrying about costs. Americans will be healthier and businesses wouldn’t have to carry the burden of health care costs which could lead to better pay.”
- Gun Control. 61% of Hispanics prioritize “controlling gun ownership” over “protecting the right of Americans to own guns.”
- Canceling Student Debt. 60% of Hispanics agree “we should cancel some or all of student loan debt to help those who can least afford it and to not saddle students with debts they’ll carry for decades.”
“Democrats have historically performed very well with Hispanics for good reason: they are broadly and overwhelmingly aligned with them across many key issues,” said Charlie Baker, President of Dewey Square Group. “The electoral success of Democrats in 2020 will hinge upon active engagement with Hispanic voters on the key issues detailed in this survey, including Immigration, Medicare-for-all, gun control and cancelling student loan debt.”
About the study
Deep Root Analytics and Dewey Square Group conducted a national, online survey among N=3000 Hispanics, ages 18+, from September 13, 2019 to October 2, 2019. The survey was focused on political views, policy views, and TV media consumption habits. Interviews were conducted among a panel of Hispanic adults recruited by Dynata.
About the team
Deep Root Analytics
Deep Root is an audience-powered analytics company that does four things: identifies your organization’s ideal audiences, optimizes your advertising based on how those audiences consume media, integrates them into platforms for linear, addressable and digital ad delivery, and measures how your audiences are being impacted by paid and earned media.
For more information, follow @DeepRootX and visit deeprootanalytics.com.
Dewey Square Group
Dewey Square Group is a fully integrated public affairs shop founded in 1992. They help businesses, non-profits, campaigns, and causes achieve their public affairs goals – whether they be favorable legislative or policy outcomes, successful advocacy efforts, community-based consumer marketing, or high-profile awareness campaigns. DSG helps clients succeed by applying campaign-style strategies that help win the support of opinion leaders and the public. Their team is led by some of the nation’s leading strategists and tacticians — professionals with impressive track records of success in the political and corporate arenas before joining DSG.
For more information, visit deweysquare.com/